Wednesday, November 30, 2011

დაძაბულობა ახლო აღმოსავლეთში


arabul qveynebSi momxdari gadatrialebebisa da siriaSi mimdinare movlenebis fonze msoflioSi ukve axali omis saSiSroeba gaCnda. iranis mosalodneli krizisi saqarTveloSic sakmaod aqtualuri Temaa. regionSi mimdinare movlenebi msoflio mediis yuradRebas ipyrobs, savaraudo omis scenari aqtiurad ganixileba socialur qselebsa da forumebze.

sazogadoebaSi gaCnda eWvi, rom arabul qveynebSi mimdinare revoluciuri procesebi sxva araferia, Tuara iranis strategiuli partniorebis “likvidacia”. dasavleTi ki revoluciebiT oficialuri TeiranisTvis savaraudo samxedro moqmedebebisas mxardamWerTa CamoSorebas cdilobs.

egviptisa da libiis Semdeg Setakebebi samTavrobo Zalebsa da momitingeebs Soris siriaSi grZeldeba. gaeros monacemebiT siriaSi bolo ramdenime Tvis ganmavlobaSi 3500-ze meti adamiani daiRupa. baSar al asadis gancxadebiT qveyanaSi ucxouri specsamsaxurebis mier momzadebuli agentebi daTareSoben, romelTa likvidaciac qveynis SeiaraRebuli Zalebis mTavari mizania. “me mzad var bolomde vibrZolo ukanonobis winaaRmdeg. Cven unda aRvkveToT iaraRis Semotana mezobeli qveynebidan da droulad unda movaxdinoT im adamianTa pasuxisgebaSi gadacema, vis kiserzec asobiT sirielis sisxlia” – acxadebs asadi.

paralelurad arabulma ligam 27 noembers siriis winaaRmdeg sanqciebis axali paketi aamoqmeda. rezolucias mxari 22 wevri qveynidan 19-ma dauWira.  Tavi mxolod erayisa da libanis warmomadgenlebma Seikaves. sanqciebi ligis wevri saxelmwifoebis teritoriaze sirieli diplomatebis vizitTa akrZalvas, finansuri angariSebis gayinvas, ekonomikur sferoSi TanamSromlobas da siriaSi investicviebis dabandebis akrZalvebs iTvaliswinebs.

arabuli ligis am nabijis Semdeg dasavleTis SeSfoTeba ruseTis mier oficialuri damaskos mxardaWeram gamoiwvia. “al-arabias” mier gavrcelebuli informaciiT ruseTma asadis reJimis mxardasaWerad siriis port tartusSi sami samxedro xomaldi Seiyvana. rusuli mediis cnobiT ki ramdenime dReSi siriis teritoriul wylebSi aviamzid-kreiseri “admirali kuznecovi” Seva. am informaciis Semdgom israelis politikur kuluarebSi kidev erTxel alaparakdnen ruseTTan urTierTobebis gadaxedvis Sesaxeb, aRsaniSnavia rom “admiral kuznecovze”  ramdenime aTeuli moieriSe su-25 da su-33, asve mravalfunqciuri Sveulmfrenebi ka-27 da ka-29 bazirebs rac israels SeSfoTebis safuZvels aZlevs.

Tamamad SeiZleba iTqvas rom axlo aRmosavleTSi Seqmnili situacia neli moqmedebis naRms hgavs, romelic moqmedebaSi wuTi-wuTze mova. miuxedavad imisa rom koaliciuri Zalebi am etapze siriaSi samxedro kampaniis dawyebas praqtikulad gamoricxaven, siriis mxardamWerebi, ruseTi da irani irwmunebian, rom regionSi dawyebuli destabilizacia Crdilo-atlantikuri aliansis morig “agresias”  uqmnis myar safuZvels.  rac Tavis mxriv nawilobriv iranis winaaRmdegaa mimarTuli.

amerikul ultimatums da atomuri energiis saagentos angariSs Teirani iaraRis JRaruniT pasuxobs. iranis Tavdacvis ministriis, brigadis generlis ahmad vahidis gancxadebiT iranma israels 150 aTasi raketa daumizna, saWiroebis SemTxvevaSi ki TurqeTSi natos axladdamontaJebul antisaraketo farsac gaanadgurebs.


iranSi antidasavluri politika piks aRwevs - mas Semdeg rac oficialurma londonma irans birTvul programaSi samxedro Semadgenlobis aRmoCenis gamo sanqciebi gaumkacra, iranis parlamentma qveyanaSi britaneTis diplomatiuri misiis done dawia. paralelurad studentTa jgufi didi britaneTis saelCoSi SeiWra da 6 britaneli diplomati mZevlad aiyvana. britaneTis mTavrobam am faqtis Semdeg diplomatTa dauyovneblivi evakuaciis Sesaxeb gancxadeba gaakeTa.

iraneli diplomatebi “SedegiT” ar kmayofildebian da dasavleTs qveynis SigniT diversiebis mowyobaSi adanaSauleben.
12 noembers “amir al momeninis “ samxedro bazaze momxdar afeTqebas, romelsac 17 iraneli samxedro mosamsaxure emsxverpla, iraneli politikosebi dasavlur specsamsaxurebs ukavSireben. mejlisis sagareo saqmeTa da usafrTxoebis komisiis wevris, parviz soruris TqmiT dakavebulia “sionisturi reJimis” 12 agenti romlebic qveyanaSi mdebare birTvul reaqtorebsa da samxedro bazebze diversiebs gegmavdnen.

irani axlo aRmosavleTsa da samxreT aziaSi dominantis poziciis dakavebas cdilobs, dasavleTi ki am etapze oficialuri Teiranis ambiciebs mxolod ekonomikur sanqciebs upirispirebs. daiwyebs Tuara axali samxedro kampania regionSi, romelsac eqspertebi potenciur “mesame msoflio omad” moixsenieben amas dro gviCvenebs. omis albaTobis SemTxvevaSi britaneTma strategiul partniors daxmareba ukve aRuTqva. Tumca iranis birTvuli programis mTavar mowinaaRmdeged am dromde mainc israeli rCeba. erayidan amerikuli jarebis gayvanis Semdeg ki ebraul aviacias praqtikulad gza exsnebaT imisTvis, rom iranis birTvul reaqtorebze prevenciuli dartymebi miitanos.

giorgi weroZe
specialurad  geo-army.ge-sTvis




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